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Paper points to most effective vaccine trials for epidemics, including Ebola

GAINESVILLE, Fla. — Implementing a vaccine trial during an epidemic can be difficult, particularly in countries with poor transportation, limited vaccine supplies and difficulty predicting how widespread a disease may become — conditions such as those in West Africa during the recent Ebola outbreak. Now, a University of Florida Health…

7th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases

The 7th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases (SISMID 2015) will be held July 6-22, 2015 at the University of Washington in Seattle, Washington USA. The Institute consists of a series of two-and-a-half day workshops designed to introduce infectious disease researchers to modern methods of statistical analysis…

Fighting Ebola with numbers and statistics

Ira Longini, Jr., Ph.D., fights infectious diseases with numbers and statistics. Longini is one of the UF Emerging Pathogens Institute’s biostatistician. He uses mathematical and statistical models to research the transmission and control of infectious diseases. “We use mathematics and statistics to model epidemics, design, analyze and interpret infectious disease…

Ebola Research

CSQUID has conducted research on the Ebola virus and projection models. For questions about our Ebola research please visit  http://www.mobs-lab.org/ebola.html.  …

Models of infectious disease transmission

We use mathematical and computer models of infectious disease transmission to simulate the course of epidemics and evaluate the efficacy of mitigation strategies. Recent projects include modeling pandemic H1N1 in the US, cholera in Haiti, and dengue in Thailand. Chao DL, Halloran ME,…

Design and analysis of vaccine studies

We use causal inference to evaluate the indirect, total and overall effects of vaccination. We are currently involved in designing or analyzing data from field trials of influenza vaccination in Senegal and dengue vaccination. The effects of vaccination vary at the individual and at the population level. Even unvaccinated individuals…

Contact intervals, survival analysis of epidemic data, and estimation of Ro

We are using epidemic percolation networks and survival analysis to estimate transmissibility of infectious disease. We argue that the time from the onset of infectiousness to infectious contact, which we call the “contact interval,” is a better basis for inference in epidemic data than the generation or serial interval. Since…

Cholera epidemiology and transmission modeling

We study both the ecological determinants that drive cholera transmission seasonality and the potential use of vaccines to mitigate or prevent outbreaks. We are measuring ecological determinants of cholera transmission in Bangladesh. See our publication “Epidemic and endemic cholera trends over a 33-year period in Bangladesh”…